Which supply distribution method is based on forecasted needs rather than actual consumption?

The push system is based on forecasted needs rather than actual consumption. In this method, supplies and materials are distributed to various points based on predictions of usage, rather than waiting for orders to be placed. This approach can help ensure that necessary items are available when they are anticipated to be needed, which is particularly useful in environments where demand is relatively predictable or stable.

In contrast to this, pull systems operate on the principle of responding to actual demand, meaning that supplies are only delivered when there is a specific need for them. The direct delivery system tends to focus on providing supplies straight from the source to the user, and a just-in-time system prioritizes minimizing inventory and relies on precise timing to deliver materials needed for production moments before they are used. Both of these systems are more aligned with actual consumption rather than forecasting. Thus, the push system is the best fit for the description in the question, making it the correct answer.